Friday, January 4, 2013

2013: 10 things Jonathan could do

“The pot is washed today, because it will cook tomorrow’s meal.” Hausa Proverb

President Jonathan promised Nigerians that 2013 will be a decisive year in terms of his agenda of transformation. The President has a passionate penchant for putting deadlines on targets, and his record of missing both has become something of a record in itself. In the hope, however, that he intends to make 2013 a real turning point in his administration’s record, these are a few suggestions he could consider for implementation.

1.                  Overhaul the economic management team

Key ministers in charge of the economy, petroleum, justice, basic infrastructure and image-management are largely working at cross-purposes. They step on each others’ toes, mainly because they are in pursuit of different goals. Their inter-personal and official relationships will continue to be major obstacles in the pursuit of major economic reforms. Remove them and replace them with others who have less stake in sustaining the status quo. Sack the entire Economic Management Team, and reconstitute it with people who have courage, competence and clout to advise and implement real reforms. Do this before end of March, 2013.

2.                Undertake radical review of 2013 budget.

Engage the national assembly towards radically reviewing the 2013 budget. A new budget should be reprocessed which should have at least 70% devoted to capital projects with focus on rehabilitation and expansion of basic infrastructure and power. Recurrent expenditure should target payment of only essential services, and remuneration of civil servants. Spending on security should be thoroughly scrutinized, and should be contingent on an informed cost benefit analysis. Overhaul budgetary mechanisms to improve quality of spending and accounting processes. Do not spend in areas where states are heavily involved. Start end of January, conclude end of March, 2013.

3.                Appoint Ministers of Power and Defence.

Appoint Ministers of Power and Defence who must have solid records of competence and proven capacities to deliver. Assign then real them powers and set them targets. Minister of Power should achieve 7000 mw by September 2013, and Minister of Defence should be directly in charge of coordination of all efforts to severely curtail or eliminate the JASLIWAJ (a.k.a. Boko Haram) insurgency by October 2013.

4.        Re-assess economic policy

Empanel a Committee of Experts and Stakeholders to advise on basic thrust of economic policy between now and December, 2014. Work with the National Assembly to conclude work on the P.I.B, and engage state governors to settle issues around excess crude account, sovereign wealth fund and resource allocation. Adopt an economic blueprint for implementation, with active participation of the legislature, governors and the private sector which should cover the period, September 2013 to December 2014.

5.                Fight corruption

Examine your decision-making processes, and identify causes, weaknesses and persons who make it difficult to fight corruption. Empower anti-corruption agencies with autonomy and capacity to investigate and persecute people behind the subsidy and pensions scams and other scams closely linked with sources of power. Clean up the circle around the decision-making process, and eliminate damaging influences from powerful people who determine policy or the fate of investigations into corrupt acts. Pay close attention to perceptions and allegations of corruption, abuse or waste, and sack Ministers and other public office holders who cannot improve the image of an administration with no tolerance for corruption. Achieve visible result by June, 2013.

6.                   Facilitate a popular assessment of the federal system

Set up an Advisory Assembly on the Nigerian Federal System made up of 5 people from each state of the federation and 30 other nominees of C.S.Os and N.G.Os to examine the structure, utility, functions and limitations of the current structure of the Nigerian state. It should advise on short and long-term solutions to the basic questions regarding the nature of the nation’s structure, economy and politics, and its recommendations should feed directly into the on-going review of the Constitution. All persons from States must be selected by panels involving community leaders, professional groups, youth associations and civil society groups. State governors should not participate in selection of delegates. Period: May 2013 – November, 2013.

7.                 Review security strategies

Remove all Joint Task Forces and road blocks in areas where JASLIWAJ (a.k.a. Boko Haram) are active. Replace them with flexible and intelligence-based strategies. Concentrate on protection of key and vulnerable points, and encourage communities to engage the insurgencies directly towards reducing their activities.

Overhaul policing strategies. Adopt a radical programme for improving intelligence-gathering and purging the police of collaborators with criminals. Adopt strict sanctions for failure or ineffectiveness at the senior levels of the security agencies. Improve inter-agency cooperation and collaboration by removing the current leadership and replacing them with those more comfortable with creating synergies. Reward diligence and punish corruption in the police and security agencies. Encourage state government-police relations, and increase the influence of state governors over leadership of police at state levels.

8.                   Engage JASLIWAJ (a.k.a. Boko Haram)

Establish a committee of respected clerics and community leaders to advise on how the JASLIWAJ (Boko Haram) can be engaged. Handle this issue directly. Improve the capacity of communities to work with government by eliminating the excesses of JTFs. Improve liaison and cooperation with neighbouring countries to reduce impact of developments in the Sahel on Nigeria. Address poverty among youth, and take positive steps to regenerate economic damage in many parts of the north immediately.

9.                   Streamline image-making

Improve the manner your administration engages the nation. Re-assess the values of official and un-official spokespersons, and take steps to plug gaps in communication outlets and strategies which create more enemies than friends. Stay at home and address national problems. Visit the people of Borno, Yobe, Bauchi and Adamawa.

10.                  Renounce plans to run in 2015

You will not accomplish anything of value if you insist on running again in 2015, or if you keep the country guessing. The opposition, the governors and the media will fight you over your record at every turn. You will accomplish little with an eye on today’s problems, and another on the battles for 2015. Focus on improving your performance now, and improve your capacity to influence who takes over from you in 2015 because you may have done well.

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