“When a problem visits, it arrives with
its own bed and table.” African Proverb
It seems such a long, long time ago when we had a
world made up of nations. These were territorially-defined, legally recognized
entities where sovereignty was located in the people and exercised by
governments. They had rights, privileges and obligations in the manner they
related with other members of the international community. They were also bound
by international laws, conventions and institutions to conduct their internal
affairs, particularly the manner in which basic government-citizen relations
were conducted. It was an unequal world, with a few powerful and dominant
nations changing the rules as they suited them, or as they were compelled to do
when strategic interests clashed. Small and weak nations jostled for some space
mostly taken up by big nations or clusters of nations, and the dynamism of the
system guaranteed some global peace and limited inevitable conflicts between
and within nations.
Then things changed dramatically. The collapse of a
bi-polar world which allowed a few weak nations to find succor and relief
around powerful clusters of nations and interests exposed all and sundry to the
realities of the dominance of the US and its allies, and the emergence of new
powers on the global stage, such as China. Rapid changes in military technology
rendered territories and sovereignty of weak nations merely academic. Aggressive
assaults on global pluralism converted international institutions such as the
United Nations into instruments for achieving hegemony by the few over many. Emergence
of regional economic and security bodies rendered old boundaries, markets and
military structures obsolete. The world became a confederation of groups, with
one or two, such as NATO and EU asserting their world view as global standards.
Value systems, economic production and distribution on a global scale and
security issues came to be defined by the strong and the rich. The weak and
poor nations suffered as they must, while the rich and powerful did as they
willed.
From the late 1970s, militant governments and groups
began to challenge US role in the global order. Flashpoints such as Israel, oil
and gas supplies from the middle east, and rising frustrations among millions
in Muslim countries began to create tensions and hostility between the US and
its allies (the West) on the one hand, and the Muslim world on the other. The collapse
of the bi-polar global structure and the vulnerability of international organizations
such as the United Nations to manipulation by strong nations, particularly NATO
countries which robbed them of capacities to mediate relations, and set basic,
legal benchmarks for conduct, heightened and prolonged many crises which could
have been more easily contained or solved in the older system. The US emerged
as the enforcer of a world order in which territorial integrity and sovereignty
of other nations became virtually irrelevant to the degree that they threatened
vital and strategic interests of the US and its allies. These interests were
extensive and profound, and every world citizen was part of the strategy for
achieving them, or subverting them.
As the US and its allies became targets of weaker
nations and groups that espoused different value systems, the world became one
massive battle front. The West improved its military technology to ensure that
every inch of the globe is within striking reach; created alliances and
reinforced relationships to enforce regional compliance with its interests, and
transformed international institutions and re-wrote international laws,
conventions and protocols in a way that allowed it to act as it wished at the
global stage. After the 9/11 attacks, the US government introduced its most drastic
legislation against its own citizens, inhibiting their basic rights for what it
saw as a prelude to an effective fight against global terror.
The world duly took notice. The fight against terror
provided the excuse for near total US and allies’ dominance and action at every
nook and cranny of the globe. It gave the cover for the war in Iraq, in
Afghanistan and parts of Pakistan. It was the reason for the ouster and murder
of Ghaddafi. It was the motivation behind the establishment of the US African
High Command (AFRICOM); the determination to stop Iran developing a nuclear
capability, and the radical improvements in military technology and deployments
such as the drone, spy satellites, military bases in far-flung territories, and
the aggressive subversion of regional organizations which could resist the
muscle of the West.
The new frontier in the fight against terror is the
Sahel and the Maghreb. Decades of local grievances, a hostile and difficult terrain
which gave cover for large scale crimes of trafficking in humans, drugs, small
arms and militant ideas and tendencies combined with the spreading influence of
militant Islamic groups to threaten fragile democracies like Mali; large
nations with perennially corrupt governments like Nigeria; and Muslim nations
with decades of history of repression against citizens like Algeria.
It is an indicator of the failure of regional organizations
like ECOWAS and the dominance of the US and its NATO allies, that the assault
on the threat in Mali and the Sahel is being spearheaded by France. Two decades
ago, Nigeria successfully led the resistance against rebels in Liberia and
Sierra Leone. Now ECOWAS countries are foot soldiers behind France’s blitz into
Mali, and its allies are lending technical support and intelligence, while African
troops and nations will be used to legitimize its involvement. The US alone
will be spending about $95m in Mali. Members of the African Union and their
friends (the West) just raised over $400m in support of the Mali campaign.
You have to ask what are the short and long term
strategic interests of France, US and NATO in Mali. The short-term goal has
virtually been accomplished. Most of northern Mali has been cleared of rebels. Is
France likely to maintain a presence in northern Mali, and for how long? If African
nations take over security and the fight against the possible resurgence of
rebel activities in the north, what will be their mandate? Are there plans
against possible emergence of hostile groups in Mauritania, southern Algeria,
northern Niger and even other parts of northern Mali?
It is quite probable that the thinking in the US, France
and NATO is that they should have an extensive and prolonged presence in the
entire Sahel. This will explain the plans by the US government to deploy bases
for use by drone aircraft, which, reports say, have been approved by the
government of Niger. Drones are relatively easy to deploy, serve multiple
purposes, and can be used to obviate mundane concerns such as violations of
territorial integrity and airspace. They are active in Pakistan and Afghanistan,
and have been the single most unpopular symbol of US presence in the region. For
every suspected life they took, they have taken ten innocent lives. The public
hate them. Governments complain over them, but are powerless to stop them. They
are popular with US government because they kill, maim and destroy foreign
suspects without putting a single American life at risk. A single man can
decide to direct a drone operation from the comfort of his chair in the US, and
a wedding party or a gathering of young people will register casualties within
a few hours in a country thousands of miles away.
If the government of Niger Republic is contemplating
approving a request by the US government for bases for drones, it should be
told very strongly by the Nigerian government that it should not approve it. Drones
in Niger will heighten tensions in the entire region, and jeopardize relations
in the ECOWAS subregion. It will endanger every citizen in the region. Nigerien
citizens will resent it. What happens in Niger will affect Nigeria. US drones will
threaten security of Niger, Nigeria and the entire West African sub-region. They
must not be allowed in any country in Africa.
If the government of Niger Republic has taken the
decision to allow US drone activity from its soil, Nigerian government should
take every step to show its displeasure. Niger cannot, and should not
contemplate a souring of relations with Nigeria. If the Nigerian government has
been consulted by the government of Niger Republic, and as expressed no
objection to the stationing of US drones in Niger, Nigerians should condemn the
action of our government. We have made many mistakes in the manner we reacted to
the threats to our lives and our nation. Allowing US drones in Niger Republic will
be one of the worst mistakes we will make.
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